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Weekly Notebook - 10/17: Wrapup and Ratings

Posted Tuesday, October 20, 2009 by Perry King
XC Notebook and Ratings Overview for 1-C, Section, and Class C Teams

About half of the 1-C teams took the Saturday of October 17 off, and most of the teams that did run were at the inaugural Green Mountain Lake (GML) Invitational at Pawling. Albertus Magnus was also in action at the Burnt Hills Invitational. Top 1-C story had to be the strong performances from many of the Pawling guys and girls at their own meet, a result that under certain scenarios boost both of their squads into the 3rd or 4th among the NYS C Class teams according to the Tully Ratings (TR).

The biggest highlight from the GML was the appearance of Cornwall's Aisling Cuffe who continued her fantastic season with a blistering 17:54 to finish 70 seconds ahead of a strong performance by Suffern's Ursula Svoboda to claim the large school race. Pearl River won the race by packing all 7 runners between the 5th and 14th places. The small schools race was dominated by Nanuet's Megan Young with Pelham's Nikki Nessi and Pawling's Caitlin Jelinek taking 2nd and 3rd. Jelinek's 129 TR was by far her best ever after a very off meet at the Manhattan Invitational, and it moved her to the top of the 1-C ratings ahead of an idle Henrietta Miers of the Broncos. Tiger teammate Zoe Nagasing also had a breakout race with a huge 108 TR for her team, which finished 2nd, close behind Nanuet. Irvington was the other main team at the meet and finished a distant 4th. At Burnt Hills, Danielle Kennedy had a nice PR 93 performance to move way up in the rankings.

The Pawling boys dominated the small schools race (which was the tougher of the two races) by taking 5 of the top 14 places. Brandon Freyer ran well under his norm in breezing to 1st with a 180 rating to beat Irvington's Julian Saliani who just missed breaking 17:00 and got a norm 175 rating. Three Pawling runners ran to PR ratings as Matt Jorgensen hit a 156, Bob Swick got a 152, and Pat Callan leaped to 147, which combined with Freyer's score and Tim Yu's 159 gave the team a 158.8 average for the race. Irvington finished 3rd behind Pawling and Rhinebeck, but their 147.8 average for the race was well under their norm. The other big performance at the race came from James Hertzel of Putnam Valley who scored a 171 to move into 4th in the 1-C rankings.

The overall ranking of teams in 1-C remains basically the same. The Pawling boys at 159.2 have expanded their lead over Irvington to 7.4 as the Bulldogs fall back to a 151.8. The idle Broncos remain in 3rd at 146.4. The Bronco girls remain far ahead of all the teams in 1-C at 106.2. The question is how to score Pawling. Anna Jelinek occupies the 5th spot on the Tigers but has not run in a few weeks. If her rating is counted, the Tigers are at 93.4, but without that score they are at 89.4, showing how much they need their #2 runner from 2008. Hastings and Irvington are still very close and the problem of how to score the Hastings 5th spot makes the 3-4 battle still a toss up. Dobbs still looks to be in the 5th place in 1-C.

Statewide for Class C, the Pawling boys have actually fallen back a place even with their big jump in score because the former 4th place Collegiate team made an even bigger leap into 2nd. The Tigers have, however, closed on the two Section 3 teams ahead of them and they will not be running against the Collegiate runners. With many of the other top NYS C schools inactive last week, the rankings remain similar to the previous week with the exception of a big move by Fonda Fultonville who gained an average 4.2 TR points to move into a tie for 11th. Irvington remains in 8th place and an idle Bronxville falls back to the 15th position.

The NYS Class C top 12 by the TR is:  1. Jordan Elbridge (163.6), 2. Collegiate (161.4), 3. Holland Patent (160.0), 4. Pawling (159.2), 5. Christian Brothers Academy  (CBA) (158.6), 6. Tully (153.2), 7. Irvington (151.8), 8. Gowanda (151.4), 9. Newark Valley (150.2), 10t. Sauquoit Valley (149.8), 10t. Fonda Fultonville (149.8), 12. James O'Neill (147.2).

The State girls side has the Broncos with a large lead over Tully. The rankings give Pawling the benefit of the doubt about the status of Anna Jelinek, but without her they would be around 6th. The NYS Class C top 12 by the TR is:  Bronxville (106.2), 2. Tully (98.4), 3. Pawling (93.4), 4. Newark Valley (93.0), 5. CBA (92.2),  6. Rhinebeck (88.0), 7. Fredonia (85.0), Holland Patent (84.2), 9. Voorheesville (81.2),  10. Chenango Forks (79.2), 11. Sauquoit Valley (76.2), and 12. Cazenovia (75.8). Irvington and Hastings are still around the 15th or 16th spots. The NY Milesplit rankings are in the ballpark except for about three schools, but the high rankings for TriValley (75.6), Millbrook (75.4), and especially Sullivan West at only 52.2 if we are exceptionally generous, are still puzzling. Dobbs is around 62.0 if we are ungenerous, so Sully West at #12 in the NYM rankings is clearly a goof.

The Section 1 Coaches race at Bowdoin on Saturday, October 24th, should be a good indicator of team strengths, though for many runners the main goal is to scope out the strategy for the Sectional race 13 days later.


Top 20 1-C Boys (146+ Tully Ratings)

1. Brandon Freyer (P) .............185
2. Julian Saliani (I) ................. 175
3. Patrick Wortner (DF) ...........175
4. James Hertzel (PV) ............ 170
5. Brendan Wortner (DF) ........ 169
6. Dayton Flannery (B) ........... 169
7. Tim Yu (P) ........................ 160
8. Joey Moschitto (Bf) ............ 160
9. Matt Jorgensen (P) ............ 155
10. John Flannery (B) ............ 154
11. Cody Orton (Dv) .............. 153
12. George Epstein DF) ......... 151
13. Sam Lindberg (I) ............. 150
14. Bob Swick (P) .................. 150
15. Cory Woodin (Dv) ............. 148
16. Dennis Montaruli (I) .......... 150
17. Lucas Bucknavage (RN) .... 148
18. Charlie Fraoli (RN) ............ 148
19. Christian Guzman (NS) ...... 146
20. Pat Callan (P) ....................146


Top 20 1-C Girls ( 80+ Tully Ratings)

1. Caitlin Jelinek (P) ............ 127
2. Henrietta Miers (B) .......... 125
3. Meredith Rizzo (B) ........... 116
4. Sarah King (DF) .............. 107
5. Annie Field (I) ................ 106
6. Zoe Nagasing (P) ........... 104
7. Amelia Phillips (B) .......... 102
8. Libby Lazare (Pl) ............ 101
9. Nora Howe (H) ................. 99
10. Argentina Chrappa (B) .... 99
11. Morgan Meaney (P) ........ 93
12. Sarah Costa (CH) .......... 92
13. Emma Sander (H)  ......... 91
14. Lauren Wilt (H) .............. 90
15. Kylie Van Buren (RN) ..... 89
16. Serina Saari (B) ............ 89
17. Emily Polstein (H) .......... 89
18. Courtney Campbell (B) ... 89
19. Danielle Kennedy (AM) ... 85
20. Katherine Marrone (B) .... 83

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